Bangladesh, April 27 -- American politics has long been governed by a simple but unforgiving pattern: the party in power rarely escapes midterm elections unscathed. This tendency, often described as a “midterm curse,” reflects a structural correction mechanism within the electorate. Voters, wary of concentrated power or disappointed by unmet expectations, tend to rebalance the system halfway through a presidents term. Today, that historical pattern appears poised to reassert itself with force, and the Republican Party may be heading toward a significant electoral setback.

At first glance, such a reversal might seem improbable. After all, Republicans entered the current political cycle from a position of strength. They held th...