
New Delhi, March 26 -- Rising tensions in the Middle-East or West Asian countries are forcing global companies to rethink where-and how-their data is stored, processed and protected. With geopolitical risks now intersecting with physical and cloud infrastructure, resilience has overtaken cost as the central pillar of digital strategy. In that shift, India is emerging as a viable alternative-not just as a back office, but as a potential backup hub for global operations.
"Developments in West Asia are not creating a new trend; they are exposing a bad old habit-too much concentration in too few corridors and political risk zones," said Ashish Banerjee, senior principal analyst at Gartner.
For years, global cloud architecture relied on geographic redundancy within the same region. The current crisis is exposing the limits of that model, as regional proximity increasingly translates into shared risk across power, connectivity and political systems. Boards are now asking more pointed questions-not just about disaster recovery, but whether primary and backup systems are exposed to the same underlying risks. That shift is bringing locations such as India into sharper focus.
Scale vs certainty
India's case rests on scale. Unlike Singapore, where data centre expansion is constrained by land and power availability, India offers room for capacity growth. Investments are rising and hyperscalers continue to expand.
However, scale alone does not ensure confidence. "India is more scalable than Singapore, but less predictable in execution," Banerjee noted, adding that Singapore continues to be preferred for regulatory certainty. That said, India's opportunity lies in narrowing that gap through more consistent execution across infrastructure and policy.
Shift to corridor-based resilience
A key structural shift underway is the move from "region redundancy" to what Banerjee describes as "corridor redundancy"-distributing infrastructure across distinct power grids, cable systems and geopolitical alignments. This is elevating the importance of connectivity.
"Recent disruptions to subsea cable infrastructure highlight how critical resilient and diversified internet architecture has become," said Sudhir Kunder, chief business officer at DE-CIX India, pointing to the role of interconnection platforms in maintaining continuity.
India's advantage in this framework extends beyond data centres to geography. Landing points such as Mumbai and Kochi sit close to major subsea routes linking the Middle East, Europe and Asia, positioning them as viable nodes in more distributed network architectures.
Cyber and physical risks converge
At the same time, the nature of risk is evolving. Robert Huber, chief security officer at Tenable, described the current conflict as one of the first large-scale examples of "cyber-kinetic" warfare, where physical and cyber threats are closely intertwined.
"There is no longer a meaningful boundary between physical and cyber threat surfaces," Huber said. This convergence is shifting how resilience is defined-from uptime metrics to broader questions of system survivability.
Limited near-term impact
In the near term, the impact on Indian IT services firms appears limited. NASSCOM has flagged caution but said operations remain stable. At a macro level, the impact is expected to be measured. According to International Data Corporation (IDC), a short-lived conflict could shave a percentage point off global IT spending growth in 2026, bringing it to around 9%.
Companies are also beginning to report pressure on growth and costs. The Middle East conflict, alongside unstable market conditions and inflationary trends, has "dampened growth," while cost inflation is nearing a four-year high, according to S&P Global.
A structural opening
The broader shift, however, is structural rather than cyclical. According to Samraat Jadhav, founder and CIO at Prosperity Wealth Adviser, the Middle East has been positioning itself as a third global hub for AI and data centres alongside the US and China, but those ambitions are likely to fragment.
Centralisation is giving way to distribution, and concentration to diversification. For India, this presents an opportunity-but not a certainty. The country has key advantages, including scale, talent and improving infrastructure, along with relative geopolitical neutrality. But gaps remain in consistency across policy, power and execution.
If those gaps are addressed, India could move beyond its traditional role and emerge as a critical node in global digital resilience.
Published by HT Digital Content Services with permission from TechCircle.