Hot money or the first stage of recovering confidence?, By Tanimu Yakubu
Nigeria, June 13 -- Introduction
The unsigned commentary under review presents itself as a forensic examination of Nigeria's recent capital-importation figures. Its central thesis is that because a substantial proportion of recent inflows entered treasury bills and other money-market instruments, rather than factories and industrial enterprises, the inflows should not be interpreted as evidence of confidence in Nigeria's economy. Instead, they are characterised as speculative, transient and symptomatic of deeper economic weakness.
The argument is forcefully stated. Unfortunately, it rests upon a misunderstanding of how capital typically returns to economies emerging from periods of macroeconomic instability and undertaking major policy ...
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