India, March 11 -- The Government of India has issued a release:
Landfall point forecast error for 24, 48 and 72 hours lead periods during 2021-25 were 19.0 km, 34.4 km and 77.3 km respectively, compared to 31.9 km, 61.5 km and 91.9 km during 2016-20, indicating an improvement of 35-45% for 24-48 hours lead period and about 20% improvement for 36-72 hours lead period.
Average track forecast errors were 73 km, 116 km and 168 km during 2021-25 compared to 77 km, 117 km and 159 km during 2016-20 for 24, 48 and 72 hours lead periods respectively, showing 5-10% improvement up to 48 hours.
Average absolute error in intensity forecast was 5.3 knots, 7.5 knots and 9.1 knots for 24, 48 and 72 hours during 2021-25 compared to 7.9 knots, 11.4 knots...