Dhaka, Feb. 4 -- The Bangladesh election on February 12, 2026, is shaping up to be a pivotal moment in the country's history, with the Awami League banned from participating and the BNP-Jamaat alliance gaining traction. The electoral landscape has shifted significantly, making it challenging to predict the outcome.

The International Crisis Group highlighted uncertainty surrounding the polls, including concerns about the process's credibility and the risk of violence.

"Predicting the outcome of the 12 February poll is challenging because the electoral landscape has shifted so much. In the December 2008 election - considered the last credible one in Bangladesh - the Awami League got almost 50 per cent of the popular vote. While its backin...