New Delhi, April 13 -- The El Niño phenomenon could result in one of the driest monsoons in India in at least eight years.

Private forecaster Skymet has predicted: the rainfall is likely to be 94% of the long-period average (LPA), or below-normal. While the predictions are in line with broader expectations of low rainfall, Skymet is known for giving more conservative predictions than the official India Meteorological Department (IMD).

Both agencies fail to predict the intensity of rainfall accurately more often than not, but Skymet's track record has worsened in recent years. Accurate monsoon prediction is crucial for making informed decisions about agricultural activities and water resource management in the country.

Skymet has p...