Sri Lanka, Sept. 10 -- Fitch Ratings has raised its world growth forecasts for 2025 moderately since the June Global Economic Outlook (GEO) on better-than-expected incoming data for 2Q25. But there is now evidence of an underlying US slowdown in 'hard' economic data and positive surprises on eurozone growth have partly reflected US tariff front-running. Fitch still expects world GDP to slow significantly this year.
Global growth is now forecast to be 2.4% in 2025, up 0.2pp since June but a sizeable slowdown from 2.9% last year and below trend. China's forecast has been raised to 4.7% from 4.2%, the eurozone's to 1.1% from 0.8% and the US's to 1.6% from 1.5%. World growth for 2026 is 0.1pp higher at 2.3%.
There has been a reduction in unce...