India, Aug. 13 -- The Government of India has issued a release:
The India Meteorological Department (IMD), under the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), has progressively upgraded its Long Range Forecast (LRF) system by adopting an advanced Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting approach based on coupled dynamical climate models. The MME system combines forecasts from multiple climate models, thereby reducing uncertainties associated with individual models and improving the reliability and skill of seasonal forecasts. The adoption of the MME forecasting system has led to a significant improvement in the reliability of seasonal monsoon forecasts. During the period 2021-2025, the average absolute error of the first-stage forecast was 3.1% of ...