India, July 29 -- The Government of India has issued a release:
All India Monsoon Rainfall
Actual Rainfall (% of LPA)
First stage Forecast issued in April
Second stage Forecast issued in May
2015
86
93
88
2016
97
106
106
2017
95
96
98
2018
91
97
97
2019
110
96
96
2020
109
100
102
2021
99
98
101
2022
106
99
103
2023
95
96
96
2024
108
106
106
2025
108
105
106
(Model error ± 5% of LPA)
(Model error ± 4% of LPA)
Year
Since 2021, the India Meteorological Department (IMD), under the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), has adopted an advanced Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) approach for long-range forecasting. This has significantly improved the accuracy of long-range forecasts, with all fore...