India, Feb. 17 -- Australia's Super 8s hopes at the T20 World Cup 2026 are hanging by a threat. After losing to Sri Lanka, it is no longer a clean "win and you are in" equation.

With one group match left, Australia need a specific chain of results around them - and even then qualification could come down to Net Run Rate (NRR), not points.

Australia have played three matches and sit on two points, meaning their maximum finish is four. Sri Lanka, already on six points from three games, have sealed qualification, leaving Australia to chase the second Super 8 slot.

This is non-negotiable. If Australia don't win their last match (vs Oman), they stay on two points and are eliminated. Oman are winless and already out, which is why this game i...