India, Sept. 29 -- India edged out one of the best thrillers in the history of T20I cricket to win the final of the Asia Cup 2025 and pocket the ninth title. The win for the Men in Blue was a slow burn, but it particularly hinged on two Haris Rauf overs that bent the chase.

After the first innings of the game, Pakistan's 147 looked 10-15 short, but early Indian wickets reopened the door for them. The match swung like a pendulum and Rauf's generosity in the 15th and 18th overs were the turning gears.

We have used a first-innings anchored, phase-aware win probability (WP) estimate. Because 146 was below par, India started the chase with a near 70% WP. From there on, the WP gets updated every over using

Sahibzada Farhan and Fakhar Zaman e...