Pakistan, May 1 -- Despite a healthy primary balance of 3.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) at home, the Ministry of Finance on Thursday warned that Pakistan's external sector may be facing risks owing to emerging global uncertainties and regional supply disruptions amid a higher rate of inflation.

"External demand may remain supportive in some markets but the balance of risk becomes less favourable than in a pre-war setting," the ministry said in its Monthly Economic Update and Outlook for April 2026.

It said the ongoing Middle East conflict was posing new risks and heightened uncertainty regarding the macroeconomic outlook.

The ministry forecast April's inflation rate - measured by the consumer price index - at 8 to 9pc, sig...