RBI's reform package could pull $40-75b inflows, push rupee to 92-93 and keep August rate on hold
New Delhi, June 6 -- The Reserve Bank of India's announcements after the monetary policy committee meeting are some measures aimed at flipping the rupee narrative from depreciation risk to inflows, SBI research and Kotak Securities said in their respective research reports.
SBI projects at least $40 billion of capital flows that could pull the rupee back toward 92-93 levels, while Kotak estimates the full package may bring $50-75 billion. Both houses expect the MPC to pause in August, keeping the repo rate at 5.25% with a "neutral" stance, even as inflation vigilance rises and growth forecasts are trimmed.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously held the repo at 5.25% and retained neutrality. RBI cut FY27 real GDP growth 30 bps ...
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